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The forecast of the European Central Bank assumes that the exchange rate of the euro against the US dollar will be 1.08 in 2024 and 1.06 in 2025, 2026 and 2027.US National Security Adviser Sullivan: We are seeking to reach a hostage release agreement and cease fire; Ceasefire and hostage agreement will begin to bring hostages home and greatly increase aid to Gaza.Wu Yaping, Research Fellow, Investment Research Institute, National Development and Reform Commission: Enhance the consistency of macro-policy orientation and give full play to the combination of different policy tools. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to integrate economic policies and non-economic policies into the consistency assessment of macro-policy orientation, coordinate the whole process of policy formulation and implementation, and improve the overall effectiveness of policies. In this regard, Wu Yaping, a researcher at the Investment Research Institute of the National Development and Reform Commission, said that to enhance the consistency of macro-policy orientation, it is necessary to strengthen and improve the evaluation of macro-policy consistency, give full play to the combined force of more active fiscal policy and moderately loose monetary policy, and give play to the combined role of different policy tools. It can be understood as "three plus": increasing fiscal and monetary policies, strengthening support for "duality" and "two innovations", and strengthening efforts to prevent and resolve risks in key areas. "The external environment will face greater uncertainty next year. We must adhere to' taking me as the main factor', strengthen the research on reserve policy, and fight for preparation." Wu Yaping said. (SSE)

After the US PPI and initial application data were released, the price of gold dropped further. After the US PPI and initial application data exceeded expectations, the price of gold continued to decline. Paul Ashworth, a macro analyst at Kaitou, said: "The components of PCE favored by the Federal Reserve are generally weak, and the CPI data released yesterday indicate that the monthly rate of core PCE will only increase slightly by 0.03%. Now it seems that the Fed is more likely to continue to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. " At the same time, the number of initial jobless claims increased by 17,000 last week, the highest level since mid-October last year, while economists expected a decrease of 4,000 to 220,000.Sullivan, US National Security Adviser: I have had a good discussion with my successor to ensure a smooth handover.Trump said Bezos would visit him next week.

The director of the Federal Aviation Administration will step down on Trump's swearing-in day, and the director of the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) plans to step down on January 20, Trump's presidential swearing-in day. In a letter to employees issued by the FAA Information Office, Michael Whitaker announced his decision to leave. Whitaker has only been in office for more than a year. In October 2023, his nomination as director of FAA was unanimously approved by the Senate. Mark House, Assistant Director of Finance and Management of FAA, will serve as Acting Deputy Director.Israeli Army Attacks Prime Minister Li in Southern Lebanon: A flagrant violation of the ceasefire agreement. On the 12th, local time, Lebanese caretaker Prime Minister Mikati issued a statement on Israel's attack on Shyam town, an important town in southern Lebanon. He said that less than 24 hours after the army began to deploy in Shyam and Magayoun to implement the ceasefire decision, Israel attacked Shyam town again, causing casualties. Mikati called the attack a flagrant violation of the ceasefire agreement and a violation of the commitments made by the United States and France as mediators. He called on these countries to clarify their positions on this incident and take immediate measures to curb Israel's aggression. Mikati said that the continuous violation of the ceasefire agreement is the responsibility of the monitoring committee responsible for monitoring the implementation of the ceasefire, and they must resolutely solve this problem and prevent such incidents from happening again. On the same day, Israeli drones attacked the town of Shyam, an important town in southern Lebanon. (CCTV News)The test drive of Jiyue Direct Store is locked and can't be tested. "The test drive has been locked and can't be tested. It is meaningless to see the car now." On December 12, a staff member of a Jiyue Auto Direct Store in Minhang District, Shanghai told reporters. When asked about vehicle maintenance and after-sales, the staff did not give an answer and immediately walked into the office. In fact, since December 10th, there have been news that "the shareholders of Extreme Vietnam will no longer invest" and "Extreme Vietnam will close the vehicle business". Xia Yiping, CEO of Jiyue Automobile, explained in an internal meeting on December 12 that the company's account has been frozen, but it is still seeking financing. The company has not shut down or closed down, and the warranty and software services of the whole vehicle will not be interrupted. (Shell Finance)